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2

Kats Bob

8yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 13 · OR 74

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap · 6f 16y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 5 times in 2025. Yet to score during the current campaign but respectable 2¾ lengths fourth of 13 to New Image over C&D last Saturday. Considered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 79 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 79 par23/054OR 794 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 78 · 6f2y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 20th of 21 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 77 par13/064OR 774 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f2y GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 74 par11/074OR 744 @ Redcar 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 5f217y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Ripon 15/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 77 par15/084OR 773 @ Thirsk 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 76 · 6f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Southwell 26/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 75 · 6f17y Std 134 · beat its mark26/09/2026 · OR 75 par26/095OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Southwell54th4th0
2026-08-28Thirsk36th4th+2
2026-08-15Ripon414th13th+1
2026-07-29Redcar42nd1st+1
2026-07-11York42nd1st+1
2026-06-26Doncaster47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0526/0615/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/202614th17/255%32%-0.24
05/06/20264th16/116%75%+0.59
13/06/202620th20/10%5%+0.05
26/06/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
11/07/20262nd22/10%94%+0.94
29/07/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
15/08/202614th9/153%32%-0.21
28/08/20266th25/10%71%+0.71
26/09/20264th12/137%75%+0.38