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6yo Gelding · 10-3 · Draw 10 · OR 80
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap · 6f 16y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Haydock | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 3 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | 2 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 16/05/2026 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 01/08/2026 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 26/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |