Roaring Ralph
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 3 · OR 71
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap · 6f 16y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 5 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetherby | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 24/07/2026 | 17th | 16/1 | 16% | 6% | -0.10 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 17/09/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |