8

Fletcher's Flight

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 8 · OR 57

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap · 4f 214y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended a lengthy losing run in handicap at Chepstow (5f) in June. Has largely struggled since but can have last run overlooked having been denied a clear run. Back down to last winning mark but has yet to prove himself effective on all-weather surface.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 64 · 5f42y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 64 par13/105OR 644 @ Yarmouth 21/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 64 · 5f42y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 64 par6 @ Chelmsford City 30/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 6f Std 136 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 63 par30/106OR 636 @ Southwell 21/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 61 · 4f214y Std 131 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 61 par6 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 4f217y Goo 129 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 59 par19/056OR 596 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 57 · 5f16y Sft 132 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 61 · 5f16y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 61 par15/065OR 616 @ Lingfield 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 60 · 5f6y Std 130 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 59 · 5f21y Goo 132 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 59 par14/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor611th11th0
2026-09-01Lingfield64th4th0
2026-06-15Chepstow57th6th+1
2026-06-06Chepstow61st1st0
2026-05-19Lingfield64th4th0
2026-05-06Kempton60

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1021/1115/0614/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20253rd10/382%71%-0.11
21/10/20258th5/174%22%-0.51
30/10/20254th4/179%40%-0.39
21/11/20256th4/179%50%-0.29
19/05/20264th18/15%57%+0.52
06/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
15/06/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
01/09/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
14/09/202611th33/10%9%+0.09