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3

General Assembly

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 4 · OR 61

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap · 4f 214y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went back-to-back at Chelmsford last autumn and finished runner-up twice on all-weather earlier this year. Has been a bit disappointing on last 2 starts but has now dropped to a career-low mark. Claims if bouncing back but a leap of faith is required on that front.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chelmsford City 18/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 72 · 6f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 72 par18/122OR 725 @ Chelmsford City 08/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Wolverhampton 09/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 70 · 5f21y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 70 par9/025OR 705 @ Chelmsford City 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 72 · 5f Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 5f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 72 par29/045OR 725 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 71 · 5f21y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 68 · 5f15y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 68 par11/075OR 685 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 67 · 5f6y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 64 · 5f21y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 64 par7/095OR 64projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton58th7th+1
2026-08-27Lingfield55th4th+1
2026-07-11Chester54th3rd+1
2026-05-18Windsor510th9th+1
2026-04-29Pontefract55th4th+1
2026-02-26Chelmsford City52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1226/0211/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20257th66/10%54%+0.54
08/01/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
09/02/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
26/02/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
29/04/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
18/05/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
11/07/20264th16/116%70%+0.54
27/08/20265th3/184%20%-0.64
07/09/20268th15/261%13%-0.48