6
Flatter Success
2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 46
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +13.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |