Cairo Caper
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 100
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |