2
Forty N Five
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Woodbine | BHA88 | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/06/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |