7
Lady Iona
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 11 - Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 60/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 15% | -0.61 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 21/11/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |