8
Mia Mitole
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 11 - Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +11.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 25/09/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 06/11/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |