Classic Discovery
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 12/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 13/09/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |