Party Central
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |