Whiskey Over Wine
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |