4
Tour The City
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 100
Woodbine · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2024 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 28/02/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |