6

Twowaycrossing

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 100

Woodbine · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 31/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark31/05/2025 · OR 97 par31/05C6OR 97C6 @ Woodbine 22/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 97 · 1m1f Fas 123 · beat its mark22/06/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Woodbine 12/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m1f Fm 125 · below its mark12/07/2025 · OR 95 par12/07C6OR 95C5 @ Woodbine 02/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 100 · 1m2f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 100 parC7 @ Woodbine 01/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 103 · 1m3f Fm 121 · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 103 par1/09C7OR 103C6 @ Woodbine 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 100 · 1m4f Fm 125 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 100 parC6 @ Woodbine 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 103 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 103 par18/07C6OR 103C5 @ Woodbine 08/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 100 · 1m3f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Woodbine 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 98 · 1m1f Fm 123 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 98 par6/09C6OR 98projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-08-08Woodbine?11th10th+1
2026-07-18Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-09-27Woodbine?1st1st0
2025-09-01Woodbine?1st2nd−1
2025-08-02Woodbine?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/052/0818/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20256th20/10%44%+0.44
22/06/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
12/07/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
02/08/20258th33/10%30%+0.30
01/09/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
27/09/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
18/07/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
08/08/202611th33/10%0%0.00
06/09/20262nd9/153%80%+0.27