3
Jaggersgotagun
6yo Horse · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength17%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 24/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 09/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |