5
Peja Du
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 95
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 81/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2024 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 29/06/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 25/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 28/06/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |