1

Royal Presence

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 88

Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Arapahoe Park 26/06/2015 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 0m5f110y 12426/06C8C5 @ Arapahoe Park 10/07/2015 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 0m5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Arapahoe Park 24/07/2015 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 0m5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS24/07C5C6 @ Saratoga 10/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m110y 119C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark26/10/2024 · OR 85 par26/10C6OR 85C6 @ Saratoga 08/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Woodbine 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 84 par24/10C6OR 84C6 @ Woodbine 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 1m1f Fas 121 · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Woodbine 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 89 par16/08C6OR 89projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-11-14Woodbine?1st2nd−1
2025-10-24Woodbine?3rd4th−1
2025-08-08Saratoga?6th7th−1
2024-10-26Belmont At The Big A?4th5th−1
2024-08-10Saratoga?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0610/0824/1016/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20152nd2/189%75%-0.14
10/07/20152nd3/184%75%-0.09
24/07/20155th3/184%20%-0.64
10/08/20244th6/168%50%-0.18
26/10/20244th9/488%57%-0.31
08/08/20256th12/137%29%-0.08
24/10/20253rd9/276%60%-0.16
14/11/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
16/08/20264th4/179%40%-0.39