9
Whiskey N Soda
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |