Maria Sofia

2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 9 · OR 79

Woodbine · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼1

Strength19%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.3

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-30	Woodbine	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8
2026-08-01	Woodbine	?	6th	6th	0	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100

▬ RUNS TO FORM

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +70.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/08/2026	6th	4/1	79%	44%	-0.35
30/08/2026	4th	12/1	37%	73%	+0.36