4
Tuscany Rose
2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 4 · OR 66
Woodbine · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength28%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |