Worldly Charm

2yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 85

Woodbine · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

89%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼1

Strength9%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.3

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-15	Woodbine	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-12	Woodbine	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100

▲ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength74%

Delivery trend -17.2% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
12/07/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	71%	+0.24
15/08/2026	4th	7/1	63%	70%	+0.07