Ozara
5yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 110
Woodbine · Race 6 - Bet365 Dance Smartly Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-11-30 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/10/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |