Warming
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 103
Woodbine · Race 6 - Bet365 Dance Smartly Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/12/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |