IvyArcIvyArc
5

Allura

2yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 5 · OR 93

Woodbine · Race 7 - Bet365 Algonquin Stakes - Grade 3 · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1233/07C6C5 @ Saratoga 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 86 par26/08C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Saratoga?2nd7th−4
2026-07-03Saratoga?1st8th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength98%

Delivery trend -14.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
26/08/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38