2
Lou's Room
2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 90
Woodbine · Race 7 - Bet365 Algonquin Stakes - Grade 3 · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |