IvyArcIvyArc
3

Mrs D

2yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 3 · OR 97

Woodbine · Race 7 - Bet365 Algonquin Stakes - Grade 3 · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 31/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f 11831/05C6C5 @ Woodbine 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 96 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 96 par12/07C5OR 96C5 @ Woodbine 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 92 · 6f110y Fm 120 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 92 par15/08C5OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Woodbine?3rd8th−4
2026-07-12Woodbine?2nd7th−4
2026-05-31Woodbine?1st8th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0512/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +16.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
12/07/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
15/08/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49