2
Dancin In Da'nile
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 109
Woodbine · Race 9 - Canadian International Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |