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13:55 · Kelso

Justin & Susan Greig Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 51yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 112
4/9
Tuppence silks

Mr Raymond Anderson Green

Tuppence

6yo Mare · 11-2

Ivanhowe - Pina (Kapgarde)

Mr Lucas Murphy60%1/1−7lbL Russell & M Scudamore
408241
6.0
Hood

Fair hurdler who was backed at long odds when landing 15-runner handicap at Ayr (2m, soft, 18/1) by 11 lengths to Lance Les Des when last seen in April with this jockey in the saddle. Has gone well fresh before and looks sure to take all the beating back in novice company.

Class Advantage

8/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/1229/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par15/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par20/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par17/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 51y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%8/12Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 23%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%13/02Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%20/03Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%17/04
Projected finish1st of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-275/100
1
3
OR 104
6/1
Brosna Town silks

Nohopersjokers&Rogues

Brosna Town

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Awtaad - Jamm (Duke Of Marmalade)

Conor Rabbitt0/3J Bedi80%
547255
3.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Has yet to match his fairly useful Flat form (for Dermot Weld) over hurdles. Ran up to best in this sphere when fifth of 10 in novice at Market Rasen (21f, good to firm) in August. Steps back down in trip and has the cheekpieces reapplied.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/1027/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par28/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 51y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%18/10Pos 16 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%5/07Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%1/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 4
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-364/100
4
2
OR 96
4/1
Luna Grace silks

The Ormello Way

Luna Grace

4yo Filly · 10-8

Kameko - Lysanda (Lando)

D R Fox70%0/3L Russell & M Scudamore
333333
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Third on all 6 of her starts, including last 3 over hurdles. Shaped with promise at Perth last time but has a bit to find with her older stablemate.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/1029/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 51y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%14/10Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 71%27/01Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%24/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 4
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-361/100
3
4
OR 88
16/1
Miss Arabella silks

Mrs A M Thomson

Miss Arabella

8yo Mare · 10-9

Nathaniel - Helter Helter (Seeking The Gold)

P W Wadge60%A M Thomson60%
P26237
5.0

Placed twice in mares maiden hurdles during 2023/24. Failed to improve on handicap debut at Sedgefield when last seen in May 2024. Can only be watched on return unless market speaks in her favour.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/1120/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 51y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%17/11Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 55%8/11Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%18/02Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 54%10/05
Projected finish4th of 4
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-361/100