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17:11 · Fort Erie

Race 3 - Claiming

6f 110y3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 78
9/5
Heat Merchant silks

David Mathes

Heat Merchant

7yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4

Kobe's Back - Red Velvet (City Zip)

Kirk Johnson0/1Julie Mathes
423632
7.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0521/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par6/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%31/05Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%6/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%18/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%21/09
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-464/100
5
5
OR 75
6/1
Cooler Man silks

Mary-lynn Agostino

Cooler Man

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5

Amis Gizmo - Tap The Rythem (Montbrook)

Brian Cheyne60%0/1Roy Agostino
224155
5.0

Class Advantage

22/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par22/1130/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%22/11Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%12/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%24/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-374/100
1
2
OR 76
4/1
Commander Joe silks

Nick Mileni, Jr

Commander Joe

8yo Horse · 8-10 · Draw 1

Giant Gizmo - Blonde Miss (Langfuhr)

Helen Vanek60%1/6Nick Mileni60%
651333
7.0

Class Advantage

1/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0225/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/02 · mark par29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 33%1/02Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%29/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%11/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%17/08
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-552/100
2
3
OR 71
5/1
Bongino silks

Bruno Schickedanz

Bongino

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2

War Dancer - Whatatimetobealive (Put It Back)

Michael David60%1/2Nick Mileni60%
125614
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/097/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par3/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/03 · mark par29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%2/09Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%3/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%15/09
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%1-637/100
6
6
OR 73
5/2
Awe Inspired silks

Trevor Shand

Awe Inspired

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6

Afleet Alex - Siddona (Whiskey Wisdom)

Luis Contreras60%1/1Richard Davis60%
845914
5.0

Class Advantage

23/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/0510/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%24/07Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%7/09Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%21/09
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%1-374/100
3
4
OR 69
12/1
Boston Bay silks

Joy Elkins

Boston Bay

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3

Society's Chairman - Heres Mud Inyr Eye (Court Vision)

Da Sean Gaskin60%1/4Joseph Humber
334165
5.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/073/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%27/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%18/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%15/09Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%29/09
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-664/100