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15:52 · Chester

Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 2f 70yGoodClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 7915/2
Secret Beach silks

Mrs Carol Shaw

Secret Beach

profileTF 3

5yo Gelding · 10-2

Footstepsinthesand - Dubai (Galileo)

Toby Moore−7lbD McCain Jnr60%
195742
6.0
Tongue strap

A dual winner for Ben Brookhouse in 2025. Proving inconsistent thus far for current yard, though registered marginally his best effort of the campaign dropped back in trip when second of 7 over C&D (good to firm) 8 days ago. Every chance if building on that.

Class Advantage

17/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/128/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 42%17/12Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%8/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%10/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%25/07
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 7511/8
Tiger silks

Gonzales And Michael Watt

Tiger

profileTF 4

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Wooded - Edya (Makfi)

Edward GreatrexIan Williams
634642
5.0Class ↓2

Still searching for first win on these shores but again ran well when second of 6 in handicap at Doncaster 7 weeks ago, pulling a little way clear of the rest. Sometimes slowly away, though he can remain competitive. 1 of 2 for this yard.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1025/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par28/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%10/10Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%28/11Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%5/06Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%14/06
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 785/6
Cape Fear silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

Cape Fear

profileTF 3

3yo Colt · 9-7

Kameko - Cape Spirit (Cape Cross)

Oisin Murphy70%0/1A M Balding80%
323213
7.0Going 10.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Gained a deserved first success when landing the odds in 7-runner novice at Lingfield (11.6f) in June. Sent off odds on but can't have been right on handicap debut at Newmarket last month and now first-time cheekpieces are applied. Interesting to see if his supporters return.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/0423/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%5/04Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%11/05Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 50%11/07
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 799/1
Farasi Lane silks

Mr Anthony Bithell

Farasi Lane

profileTF 2

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Belardo - No Such Zone (Oasis Dream)

Aiden Brookes1/1Micky Hammond60%
655515
5.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Won twice at Wolverhampton in March for Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole before notching his third win of the season yard debut in a 7-runner event at Ripon (1m) last month. Possibly found the race coming too soon at Sandown next time and a 4-day turnaround/stall 9 both temper enthusiasm.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par6/0520/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 70y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 62%6/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%29/06Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%29/07
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
7
OR 746/1
Echalar silks

Mr S Bell

Echalar

profileTF 3

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Too Darn Hot - Rocana (Fastnet Rock)

David Probert70%Ian Williams60%
667034
4.0Class ↓2
Hood

Won 7f Wolverhampton handicap in January for Jane Chapple-Hyam. Rather in-and-out since for new connections, but he does at least arrive on the back of a couple of solid efforts, most recently when fourth of 6 at Chepstow (1m, good to firm) last month. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/037/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par27/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%12/03Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%27/04Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%27/06Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%16/07
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 7720/1
Saligo Bay silks

Lpd Demolition Ltd

Saligo Bay

profileTF 5

8yo Gelding · 10-0

New Bay - Glorification (Champs Elysees)

T Eaves0/2S England
113421
4.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Prolific winner last year, including when last seen in this sphere here in September. That race has produced winners and he improved quite a bit over hurdles after that. Should be sharper for recent spin over hurdles and looks the one to be with.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par1/1115/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/11 · mark par20/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par16/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par31/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 70y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%1/11Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%20/12Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%31/01Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%18/07
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
6
OR 715/1
Oman silks

Mr A W Carroll

Oman

profileTF 2

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Australia - Awohaam (Iffraaj)

Zak Wheatley60%1/6A W Carroll
841479
3.0Class ↓2

Course winner who added to his tally in decisive fashion at Goodwood (9f) in June. Has failed to make an impact on both subsequent starts, left poorly placed the way things developed when ninth of 10 at Wolverhampton (9.5f) last month. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0518/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%8/05Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%27/06Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 11%6/07
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
8
OR 6225/1
Eagle Day silks

Mr David Edwards & Arthur Hoyle

Eagle Day

profileTF 2

6yo Gelding · 8-13

Kodiac - Ramone (Marju)

J F Egan60%P D Evans80%
180494
3.0

Ended a long losing run at Wolverhampton in March (second past the post but promoted) and wasted no time getting back to form when fourth of 13 there (9.5f) 12 days ago, albeit better placed than most. Recent turf efforts leave plenty to be desired, however.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/0318/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par21/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%20/03Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 10%4/06Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 27%7/07Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%21/07
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
9
OR 7114/1
Moon Beginnings silks

Nbr30, Mike Owen & Rasio Cymru Racing

Moon Beginnings

profileTF 2

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Saxon Warrior - Mimiteh (Maria's Mon)

Laura Pearson0/1D Loughnane
880548
3.0
Eye Shield

Scored around here on debut but went with little zest in first-time eyeshields when eighth of 9 at this course (7.6f, good to firm). Significantly back up in trip and given a chance by the handicapper but the widest stall makes him opposable.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/038/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%20/03Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 19 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 19 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%15/05Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%12/06Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%11/07
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend