13:50 · Musselburgh

Copper Blossom Ladies Day Nursery Selling Handicap

7f 15yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 629/2
Amantha silks

Nick Bradley Racing 17 and Partner

2yo Filly · 8-12

Mohaather - Rawwani (American Pharoah)

L Morris70%B Ellison
866123
7.0

Capitalised on the drop into selling company when scoring over C&D in June. Looked in command for most of way (collared final strides) in 7.5f Beverley nursery next time but underperformed in race won by Bluestone Lady over C&D latest. Bounce back called for.

Class Advantage

23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0427/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%23/04Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%4/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%31/07
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav3
OR 675/2
Bigalo silks

Mr Ian Buckley

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Ardad - Kloa (Kingman)

Joanna Mason60%Roger Fell
69722
6.0Class ↓3

Improved again when ½-length second of 7 to Bluestone Lady in nursery at this C&D (good to firm, 5/2) last week, clear of rest. Meets that rival on 3 lb better terms and fancied to reverse the form.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0518/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%25/05Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%18/06Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 40%27/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%31/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
2
OR 6118/1
Bluestone Lady silks

Nick Bradley Racing 5 & E Burke

2yo Filly · 9-3

Phoenix Of Spain - Rosa Gialla (Diamond Green)

Jack Nicholls60%−3lbPhillip Makin60%
264201
7.0
Blinkers

Confirmed previous promise to get off the mark in 7-runner nursery at this C&D (good to firm) 7 days ago by ½ length from Bigalo, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Respected under a 6-lb penalty.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/0518/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%7/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%15/06Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%14/07Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish3rd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 6118/1
Bella Lucia silks

Mr A M Caygill

2yo Filly · 8-11

Belardo - Susie Javea (Coach House)

William Pyle70%G Tutty
363
5.0

Showed something like debut form when third of 12 in 6f maiden at Southwell (18/1) 15 days ago, running on. Bred to be suited by this longer trip now tackling a nursery for the first time.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0526/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0523/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength53%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%4/05Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%26/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 82%23/07
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 73200/1
Extended Order silks

Dr J Walker

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Without Parole - Ballet Romance (Poet's Voice)

Daniel Muscutt70%1/1Eve Johnson Houghton80%
100
3.0Going 8.0

Made a winning start in a weak Brighton maiden (6f) in May. Shaped as though amiss at Kempton next time and fared little better at Newbury since. Something to prove on nursery bow.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/0529/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0617/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%29/06Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 9%17/07
Projected finish5th of 5
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend