21:45 · Penn National

Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming

1m 70y3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 8510/3
Good Man Dan silks

Port Lairge Stables And Merribelle Stables Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Blofeld - Kiowa (Stephen Got Even)

Angel Rodriguez60%0/1Mark Beecher
245123
7.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

27/09 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a27/0925/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par15/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par8/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%27/09Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%15/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 67%8/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%25/07
Projected finish1st of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav2
OR 715/2
Passionforglory silks

Shooting Star Stable Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Jimmy Creed - English Mum (Congrats)

Andrew Wolfsont60%1/3Kathleen DeMasi60%
322136
8.0

Class Advantage

6/11 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a6/1123/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/0429/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%6/11Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%23/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%29/05
Projected finish2nd of 5
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 8310/1
Flash Of Chaos silks

D And D Stables Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Bolt D'oro - Joint Return (Include)

Frankie Pennington70%John Kirby60%
341353
6.0

Class Advantage

29/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par29/1121/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par24/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par17/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/02 · mark par12/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par17/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par17/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%29/11Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%24/01Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%12/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%17/05
Projected finish3rd of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 728/1
Brother Paul silks

Embracing The Passion

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Uncle Vinny - Sacrifice (Temple City)

Inoel Beato60%1/3Erin McClellan60%
433163
6.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

19/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/038/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par16/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par23/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par10/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%19/03Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 33%16/04Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%26/06
Projected finish4th of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 854/1
Ice Shot silks

Purpura Racing Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Keen Ice - Smart Shot (Skipshot)

Teshawn HazelwoodBlake Kelly
431462
4.0

Class Advantage

31/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/0829/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par9/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/01 · mark par20/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par18/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par28/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%31/08Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%9/01Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%18/04Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%28/05
Projected finish5th of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend