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14:10 · Thirsk

Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery

7fGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 6511/8
Gerry's Darling silks

Thomas Kirby & Partner

Gerry's Darling

2yo Filly · 9-8

Palace Pier - Flymetothemoon (Dark Angel)

K Stott70%1/3Roger Fell60%
8721
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Improving Palace Pier filly. Made all to capitalise on a good opportunity in decisive fashion at Musselburgh 7 days ago. Looks capable of defying a 6-lb penalty on nursery bow.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/069/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0719/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0731/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength89%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%20/06Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%9/07Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 92%19/07Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
2
OR 729/4
Bymiddaytomorrow silks

Opulence Thoroughbreds & Mr James

Bymiddaytomorrow

2yo Filly · 10-1

Mehmas - Catchingsnowflakes (Galileo)

Ashley Lewis70%E Walker60%
6581
5.0

90,000 gns Mehmas filly. Benefitted from her sights being lowered and a longer trip when off the mark by 1½ lengths at Ayr (7f) last time. Now switched to a nursery and is weighted to be firmly in the mix under a 6-lb penalty (good-value claimer takes over).

Class Advantage

4/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/058/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/062/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0727/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%4/05Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%8/06Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%2/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%27/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 6920/1
Love Tanya silks

RD Gaming Ltd

Love Tanya

2yo Filly · 9-6

Blue Point - Mireille (Dalakhani)

O J Orr60%E Bethell
32
7.0Going 7.0

€110,000 Blue Point filly. Left her debut form well behind up in trip when 2¾ lengths second of 6 in C&D novice. Looks far from the finished article and opening mark is a potentially lenient one.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0624/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength72%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%24/06Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%24/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
4
OR 458/1
Spirit Of Mary silks

MPS Racing & Partners

Spirit Of Mary

2yo Filly · 8-2

Ubettabelieveit - Suddenly Love (Massaat)

Ethan Tindall60%−5lbB Haslam
97433
6.0

Has fared better for the switch to nurseries, finishing third in back-to-back 6f races here. Now up in trip/grade with something to find at the weights (6 lb out of the handicap).

Class Advantage

4/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0517/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%4/05Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%17/05Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%27/05Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%7/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%24/07
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 5511/1
Priscilla's Hope silks

Mr C Massie & Mr Pj McBride

Priscilla's Hope

2yo Filly · 8-6

Ubettabelieveit - Angel's Quest (Dark Angel)

A Mullen70%P J McBride
36585
3.0

One of the more exposed runners. No impact on nursery debut at Pontefract (6f) last time. Dropped 3 lb and step up in trip will need to eke out some improvement.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/048/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%21/04Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%8/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%11/06Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%7/07
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 5510/1
Bonjour Belle silks

Mr Joseph Bell & Mr Tony Wood

Bonjour Belle

2yo Filly · 8-6

Without Parole - Rock Me Baby (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%−5lbB Ellison
570
2.0

Gone the wrong way since a fairly promising start in a relatively valuable Chester seller. Not discounted if putting her best foot forward from lowly opening mark.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0619/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength53%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%13/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%25/06Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%19/07
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend