1

Melody Man

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Ayr · Weddings At Western House Hotel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in maiden (40/1) at Thirsk (6f, good) on debut 46 days ago. One for the longer term.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 13314/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Thirsk46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20266th40/10%50%+0.50