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15:08 · Ayr

Book Your Event At Ayr Racecourse Handicap

7f 50yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 58
3/1
Lope Y Linda silks

Mount Pleasant Racing & Ptr

Lope Y Linda

3yo Filly · 9-4

Lope Y Fernandez - Dhuma (Falco)

D Allan60%2/7T D Easterby60%
443021
8.0

Free-going type who looked better than ever when making all at Catterick 3 weeks ago, her rider doing well to get across from the widest stall. 5 lb rise seems a little excessive but she has a good record here.

Class Advantage

14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/0722/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%14/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%7/08Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 27%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%31/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.6%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 62
7/1
Highfield Viking silks

Trainers House Enterprises Ltd

Highfield Viking

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Aclaim - Pure Illusion (Danehill)

Jason Hart60%4/26J & S Quinn60%
509083
5.0
Blinkers

Back-to-back winner last summer (including over C&D). Struggled after an encouraging reappearance but took a big step back in the right direction off reduced mark when third over C&D (soft) 12 days ago and well treated if able to back that up.

Class Advantage

23/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/0423/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%23/04Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%14/06Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%5/09Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 85%17/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.5%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 65
7/1
Milford Grange silks

Mr J N Blackburn & Mr T Cottier

Milford Grange

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Nando Parrado - Desert Mission (Shamardal)

Billy Garritty60%0/8M & D Easterby70%
226843
6.0
1st Blinkers +3

Maiden who was runner-up 3 times in a row earlier in the season, but not quite at those levels since. Blinkers now go on.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/0520/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%16/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%10/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%8/08Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.4%Ahead 4/4
4
7
OR 65
11/2
Showtown silks

Hambleton Racing Li

Showtown

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Showcasing - Romsey (Mukhadram)

T Eaves0/7K A Ryan60%
458882
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Maiden who bounced back to form from his slipping mark when beaten only by a gambled-on winner at Thirsk 2 weeks ago, clear of the rest and seeing out this longer trip well. Not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/055/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%21/05Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 30%1/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 46%5/09Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 89%14/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.3%Ahead 1/4
8
3
OR 54
8/1
Kelpie Grey silks

Mr Paul Stewart

Kelpie Grey

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Havana Grey - Malelane (Prince Sabo)

P Mulrennan60%3/21J S Goldie60%
680773
5.0Class ↓4
Visor

Not the force of old and further decline this year, though at least fared better for a while when third here (1m) 22 days ago, albeit beaten almost 5 lengths.

Class Advantage

27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/078/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%27/07Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 42%Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 9%10/08Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%17/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%18/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.7%Ahead 1/4
1
4
OR 65
7/1
Novak silks

Mrs Francesca Mitchell

Novak

7yo Gelding · 10-0

Mastercraftsman - Parknasilla (Dutch Art)

Cara Tuke60%0/3−7lbI Jardine
344217
6.0

Capitalised on a much-reduced mark to snap a long losing run on turf at Musselburgh. Unable to open up fully at Thirsk since but he has been kept away from testing ground for most of his career.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0619/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%10/06Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%27/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%25/08Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 45%14/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.0%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 64
8/1
Wise Crack silks

Mr Jon A Thompson

Wise Crack

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Blue Point - Veiled Intrigue (Pastoral Pursuits)

Shane Gray60%1/2Mrs R Carr
681445
5.0Class ↓4

Perked up with the application of headgear when off the mark at Catterick before backing that up when fourth here (1m). Ran well without the headgear at Yarmouth 12 days ago but not an obvious type to handle bad ground.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0625/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%5/06Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%31/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%17/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.1%Ahead 4/4
10
8
OR 50
16/1
Tap Dancer silks

Ayr Racecourse Club

Tap Dancer

4yo Filly · 8-13

Territories - Hazy Dancer (Oasis Dream)

Lauren Young−5lbJ S Goldie60%
673767
4.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Sole success came in Bath novice (heavy) for Marcus Tregoning in autumn 2024. Hasn't threatened to capitalise on slipping mark since joining this yard, her latest run here particularly poor. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/066/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%19/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%13/07Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%8/08Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%18/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
6
9
OR 60
14/1
Sailor Batt silks

Mr Laurence O'Kane

Sailor Batt

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Coulsty - Nora Batt (Art Connoisseur)

Connor Beasley60%0/5T D Barron
625337
4.0

Maiden but often gives his running and looked rusty after 5 months off at Redcar 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

17/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par17/1012/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par16/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%17/10Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%6/02Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%16/04Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 57%9/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.5%Ahead 1/4
11
11
OR 45
33/1
Runninman silks

Mr D Telford

Runninman

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Mehmas - Merry Jaunt (Street Sense)

A Mullen70%D W Whillans
406508
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Poor maiden who is easy to oppose.

Class Advantage

19/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/0331/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%19/03Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%19/08Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%9/09Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%19/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.9%Ahead 3/4
9
10
OR 50
12/1
Toy Soldier silks

Miss Lucinda V Russell

Toy Soldier

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Soldier's Call - Royal Highness (Dream Ahead)

Lexie Clarkson0/4−7lbL Russell & M Scudamore
268755
3.0Class ↓4

Ex-Irish 4-y-o who has yet to win a handicap and hasn't cut much ice for current yard.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/065/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 93%30/06Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 22%20/07Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%2/09Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%21/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.6%Ahead 1/4