14:08 · Ayr

Nairns's Oatcakes Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 76
13/2
Krissy silks

Mr James Mearns Long

5yo Mare · 9-9

Calyx - Advertising Space (Galileo)

Rhys Elliott60%4/12−5lbJ S Goldie60%
149225
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Forward-going type. Held on gamely to notch her fourth win of the season at Musselburgh in June and has mostly remained in good form, drop back to 1m probably against her at Hamilton 9 days ago. Headgear on.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/064/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par20/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%20/07Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%17/09Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%20/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 2/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 80
5/1
Star Cast silks

Paul Demilow & Tom Galvin

4yo Filly · 9-13

Almanzor - Red Starlight (Pivotal)

Jake Dickson60%1/6−5lbG Tutty
211234
8.0Going 10.0

On the go since the turn of the year and gained a superb sixth win of 2026 over C&D (soft) in June. Has reached the frame from this career-high mark all 3 starts since and this looks slightly easier.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/0612/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par3/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par12/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 90%8/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%3/09Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.1%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 80
4/1
Mehmas Champion silks

Hambleton Racing Lv

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Mehmas - Star Lahib (Cape Cross)

D Tudhope60%0/1D O'Meara60%
469001
5.0

Finally came good for this yard when causing a big surprise with a 80/1 win at Haydock 4 weeks ago, a strong gallop back on softer ground looking in his favour. Pulled clear with a subsequent winner that day and he remains unexposed over this trip.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0521/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par19/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par16/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%7/05Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%21/05Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%19/06Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 9%16/08Pos 1 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.6%Ahead 4/4
9
Market Fav3
OR 76
10/3
Keep An Eye On It silks

Mr Tony Coyle

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Century Dream - Mad Jazz (Sir Percy)

D Nolan1/5T Coyle & K Wood
452312
7.0

Shown plenty of promise since switched to handicaps, winning here (1m) in August after a 4-month break. Unlucky not to follow up taking on his elders for the first time at Carlisle 6 weeks ago (conceding first run) and he remains of strong interest over a trip he's likely to stay.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/1124/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par12/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 79%4/11Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%2/04Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%19/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.8%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 74
10/1
Tipsy Tiger silks

Miss Caroline Scott

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Postponed - Tigerfish (Lilbourne Lad)

Shane Gray60%W Stone60%
723464
5.0
Cheek pieces

Placed twice off similar marks last autumn and built on return 10 weeks later when fourth at Sandown. Ground in his favour and likely to go well.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/0812/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par8/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par20/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%29/08Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%8/10Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 55%29/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%11/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 78
10/1
Mano Chicago silks

Mr Allan McLuckie

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Study Of Man - Kesarina (Medicean)

A Mullen70%0/1I Jardine60%
524230
5.0Class ↓3Going 8.0
Blinkers

Maiden in Ireland for Johnny Murtagh but was placed on several occasions. Made a good start for new connections (sold 48,000 gns) when third over C&D last month, catching the eye with how he travelled. Reportedly suffering from post-race ataxia when well held at Chester since.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/048/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par22/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par12/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 73%24/04Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 73%26/05Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%10/08Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.1%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 73
7/1
Yermanthere silks

Habton Racing

8yo Gelding · 9-6

Fast Company - Fast Jazz (Frozen Power)

D Allan60%2/5T D Easterby
122618
5.0Class ↓3

Enhanced a fine Ripon record when doubling his tally for the year early this month. Hasn't been competitive away from that track this season, though, including last time.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par18/0629/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%18/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%1/09Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%12/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 1/4
4
7
OR 76
12/1
Kokanee silks

Mr Johnny Hall

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Kameko - Stroll Patrol (Mount Nelson)

Rowan Scott60%E A L Dunlop
261894
4.0

Right back to his best with testing ground proving ideal when winning at Lingfield off 1 lb lower in June. Not in the same form under quicker conditions since but going is now in his favour.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0418/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%7/04Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 22%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%22/08Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%15/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.1%Ahead 1/4
6
9
OR 75
14/1
Zowal silks

Mr M Dalby

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Zarak - Sweet Zen (Dabirsim)

Jason Hart60%2/5J & S Quinn60%
613049
3.0

Gained a first handicap success at Pontefract off this mark in April but has matched that form only once since, albeit when the ground was testing again. Goes beyond 1m for the first time.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par28/037/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 76%28/03Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%29/08Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%17/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 2/4