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18:50 · Thistledown

Race 5 - Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 80
2/1
Indian Fever silks

Blazing Meadows Farm LLC

Indian Fever

11yo Gelding · 8-7

Colonel John - Private Cause (Noble Causeway)

Rocco Bowen60%2/11Timothy Hamm60%
553111
9.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/11 · mark par11/1120/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par21/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/01 · mark par24/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%11/11Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%21/01Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%3/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%27/05
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 74
5/2
Paint The Town silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

Paint The Town

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Paynter - Way To Fly (Bowman's Band)

Jason Simpson60%1/12Ricardo Bailey
553454
5.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/0511/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%27/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%27/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%19/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.7%Ahead 3/4
3
2
OR 76
6/1
Social History silks

Michael Friedman

Social History

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Danza - Princess Claire (Free Thinking)

Alexander Chavez60%Alejandro Murillo60%
433433
6.0Going 10.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

27/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0418/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%27/04Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%10/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%5/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.7%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 60
8/1
Lucky Victor silks

Urieta's Racing Stable

Lucky Victor

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Itsmyluckyday - Jade (Colonel John)

Victor Fernandez60%1/4Johanna Urieta60%
616041
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

8/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par8/1023/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par6/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/11 · mark par25/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 17%8/10Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%6/11Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%20/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 59
15/1
Venture On silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

Venture On

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Added Edge - Em N Emmy (Sky Mesa)

T Houghton1/8Ricardo Bailey
857763
5.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par23/061/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%23/06Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%14/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%24/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%10/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.7%Ahead 4/4
6
7
OR 70
3/1
Check The Facts silks

Justine Eder

Check The Facts

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Factum - Millie K (Tejano Run)

Angel Diaz60%0/3Justine Eder
211642
5.0

Class Advantage

22/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/11 · mark par22/117/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/12 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par14/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%22/11Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%24/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%3/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.4%Ahead 1/4
7
6
OR 67
10/1
Drill City silks

Keys To Riches Stable Llc And Meyers, Shane

Drill City

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Drill - City Beautiful (Storm Cat)

Jefferson Skerrett60%0/1−5lbShane Meyers60%
115755
3.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/058/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par22/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%27/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 20%22/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%3/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%15/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 2/4