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16:13 · Ayr

Racing TV Handicap

1m 7fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 53
13/2
Ebony Maw silks

Mr B Jordan

Ebony Maw

9yo Gelding · 9-5

Iffraaj - Skirrid (Halling)

Jason Hart60%1/11Ewan Whillans80%
431336
6.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Four-time course winner, latest over shorter trip in July. Made the frame on next 2 starts but needs to bounce back from a poor run here 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/0519/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%21/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%2/09Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%18/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.1%Ahead 3/4
5
2
OR 51
7/2
Aighear silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

Aighear

8yo Mare · 9-3

Farhh - Kabjoy (Intikhab)

P Mulrennan60%1/11J S Goldie
334654
5.0

Won this contest (off 6 lb lower) last year and followed up in convincing fashion here 10 days later. Yet to score this season but arrives on back of creditable fourth of 12 in handicap over shorter trip at Hamilton earlier this month and looks fairly treated. Player.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par5/115/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%5/11Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%19/06Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%16/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 73%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.3%Ahead 1/4
1
Market Fav3
OR 64
6/4
Time Turner silks

Muhannad Saleh Al Maskari

Time Turner

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Lope De Vega - Yourtimeisnow (Charm Spirit)

D Tudhope60%0/1E Bethell60%
945232
6.0
Blinkers

Ran right up to best, in first-time blinkers, when creditable second of 7 in handicap at Beverley (2m, heavy, 4/1) 30 days ago, keeping on gamely. Just 1 lb higher now and is one for the shortlist.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/01 · mark par30/0122/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par30/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%30/01Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%4/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%31/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%30/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 61
11/4
Furhaan silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

Furhaan

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Showcasing - Galaxy Highflyer (Galileo)

Lauren Young0/5−5lbJ S Goldie
523493
6.0

Drawn a blank since handicap debut success for Ed Walker last autumn but made the frame on several occasions this season, latest when creditable third of 10 in handicap over shorter trip at this course 11 days ago. Likely to be in the mix again.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0611/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par25/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength89%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%27/06Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%24/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 27%6/09Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%18/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.6%Ahead 2/4
6
4
OR 57
25/1
Aussie Pearl silks

Mrs S Russell

Aussie Pearl

3yo Filly · 9-1

Australia - Similu (Danehill Dancer)

Connor Beasley60%0/2C Johnston
33444
5.0

Looked green but showed ability when third at Leicester on debut last October but still to better that form in 4 attempts since. Tries longer trip now but is hard to fancy.

Class Advantage

7/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/1022/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par3/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength88%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%7/10Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%22/10Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%10/06Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%25/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%3/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.2%Ahead 1/4
7
7
OR 45
25/1
Speechman silks

James and Susan Cookson

Speechman

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Kingman - Not Ready (More Than Ready)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/1P A Kirby60%
832786
3.0Class ↓5
Visor

Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs and recent efforts haven't offered much encouragement. Visor back on.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par18/063/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 36%18/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%8/07Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%4/08Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%27/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.1%Ahead 4/4
3
6
OR 65
16/1
Celestial Cen silks

The Keg Partnership I

Celestial Cen

3yo Filly · 9-9

Intello - Celestial Sighting (Eskendereya)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%0/2A Watson
2449
4.0

Fair form when in the frame on her first 2 runs but disappointed since, including on Kempton handicap debut last month.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0630/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0617/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0710/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 86%6/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%30/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%17/07Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%10/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 2/4