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14:45 · Sedgefield

Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Hurdle

2m 3f 188yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 99
5/1
Zamond silks

Hale Racing & Lyle Farming Company

Zamond

10yo Gelding · 12-0

Diamond Green - Cosavita (Comte Du Bourg)

Harry Brown60%0/2−10lbD McCain Jnr60%
282123
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Veteran who resumed winning ways at Cartmel (17.2f) in July and has confirmed himself still in top form on both subsequent outings, finishing third to a couple of stablemates at Bangor (2½m) latest. 10-lb claimer back in the saddle and likely to continue to run well.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/12 · mark par11/1227/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%11/12Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%26/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 90%29/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%8/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 95
9/4
Whitewinewednesday silks

Mr P W Mullins

Whitewinewednesday

7yo Mare · 11-10

Affinisea - No Greater Fury (Choisir)

Mr P W Mullins60%W P Mullins90%
93470P
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Hasn't kicked on after a promising start in handicaps but can have her first run for Willie Mullins at Limerick in May overlooked having raced on unfavoured inside and later said to be showing signs of being in season. Tongue strap on for first time and remains one to keep an eye on.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/0723/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par11/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par18/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par20/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 13 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 8%5/07Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 87%20/09Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%18/10Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%20/04
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.3%Ahead 3/4
6
6
OR 86
7/2
Hijo De La Luna silks

Mr Richard C Pearson

Hijo De La Luna

6yo Gelding · 11-1

Sea The Moon - Hey Little Gorl (Sternkoenig)

Bruce Lynn0/3S G West60%
63P543
5.0
Visor

Confirmed he still has something to offer when third of 8 in handicap hurdle at Kelso (2¼m, good) 13 days ago. Recent form sound and must enter the reckoning.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/0620/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%16/06Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%9/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%28/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%16/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.9%Ahead 4/4
2
3
OR 97
10/1
Sovereignlightcafe silks

Mr J Blackburn Racing

Sovereignlightcafe

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Postponed - Favorite Girl (Shirocco)

Jamie Hamilton70%0/2M & D Easterby
383
5.0

A fair and lightly-raced maiden on Flat in first half of 2024. Returned from 17 months off and displayed aptitude for hurdling when third of 9 here (16.8f) here last December but well held at Wetherby 3 weeks later and again offered little when remote third at Bangor 25 days ago. Makes handicap bow.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/057/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par5/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 30%10/05Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%3/07Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%27/12Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%4/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.9%Ahead 3/4
3
2
OR 97
16/1
Vanilla Dancer silks

Garry Thexton & Chris Grant

Vanilla Dancer

7yo Mare · 11-12

Dragon Dancer - Vanilla Delight (Orpen)

Danny McMenamin70%1/18C Grant
214249
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Broke duck over hurdles when winning at Catterick (2m) in February and performed well in defeat next 3 outings. Produced a rare below-par effort at Kelso when last seen in May and very much the type to bounce back quickly.

Class Advantage

23/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/01 · mark par23/019/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/02 · mark par8/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par2/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par24/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%23/01Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%8/03Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%6/05Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 27%24/05
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.0%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 78
4/1
Lillistar silks

Mr John Sidebottom & Mrs Kate Sidebott

Lillistar

6yo Mare · 10-7

Zoustar - Langlauf (Raven's Pass)

B S Hughes60%0/6Micky Hammond
42FP53
6.0

Not seen to best effect on most recent Flat outing and was again caught further back than ideal when third of 9 in handicap hurdle over C&D (firm, 4/1) 32 days ago. Merits consideration from 1 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/0422/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 6 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 17%21/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%4/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%28/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 74
12/1
Breaking Ground silks

Mr R Michael Smith

Breaking Ground

5yo Mare · 10-3

Berkshire - Peace And The City (Elusive City)

Toby Wynne60%0/2R M Smith
500865
3.0

Maiden who was possibly unsuited by the drop back in trip when fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at this course (17f, firm, 20/1) last month, though still has little in the way of form.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/0323/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par14/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 56%20/03Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 17%14/05Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%2/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%28/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.6%Ahead 4/4
5
7
OR 97
20/1
Tracker Issue silks

Molly And Paul Willis

Tracker Issue

4yo Gelding · 11-9

Verbal Dexterity - Paistiul (Dawn Approach)

Ryan Mania60%0/4A Nicol
6629
4.0

Regressive maiden on the Flat who made more impact than previously over hurdles when ¾-length second in a C&D novice in August. However, struggled in his first handicap in this sphere back over C&D since, an SP of 28/1 also speaking of low expectations.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/0519/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f 188y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%30/05Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 58%24/07Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%28/08Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 11%14/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.2%Ahead 4/4