Quest For Fun

8yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 77

Ayr · Autumn Breaks At Western House Hotel Handicap · 7f 50y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.7

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-19	Ayr	4	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-09-06	York	3	2nd	1st	+1	9.2
2026-07-24	York	4	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-10	York	3	12th	11th	+1	1.0
2026-05-23	York	4	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-05-15	York	4	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength80%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
08/11/2025	10th	14/1	26%	55%	+0.29
29/03/2026	9th	16/1	16%	47%	+0.31
18/04/2026	5th	16/1	16%	67%	+0.51
15/05/2026	5th	15/2	61%	81%	+0.20
23/05/2026	3rd	13/2	66%	90%	+0.25
10/07/2026	12th	28/1	0%	31%	+0.31
24/07/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	88%	+0.41
06/09/2026	2nd	16/1	16%	93%	+0.77
19/09/2026	5th	4/1	79%	50%	-0.29