8
Wobwobwob
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 70
Ayr · Autumn Breaks At Western House Hotel Handicap · 7f 50y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Redcar | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 21% | -0.05 |
| 07/04/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 25/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |