2

Highfield Viking

6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 62

Ayr · Book Your Event At Ayr Racecourse Handicap · 7f 50y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back-to-back winner last summer (including over C&D). Struggled after an encouraging reappearance but took a big step back in the right direction off reduced mark when third over C&D (soft) 12 days ago and well treated if able to back that up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 77 · 7f Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 77 par10/104OR 774 @ Catterick 18/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 7f6y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 76 par5 @ Redcar 04/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 75 par4/115OR 754 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 74 · 7f96y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 73 par23/054OR 735 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 71 · 7f6y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 68 · 7f50y Goo 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 68 par8/085OR 685 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 66 · 7f14y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 66 par6 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 63 · 7f50y Sft 137 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 63 par17/096OR 63projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Ayr63rd3rd0
2026-09-05Newcastle58th7th+1
2026-08-08Ayr511th10th+1
2026-06-14Doncaster59th8th+1
2026-05-23York410th8th+2
2026-04-23Beverley45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1023/048/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20257th22/10%70%+0.70
18/10/20253rd4/179%78%-0.01
04/11/20256th3/184%62%-0.23
23/04/20265th13/266%56%-0.10
23/05/202610th22/10%57%+0.57
14/06/20269th11/142%20%-0.22
08/08/202611th12/137%9%-0.28
05/09/20268th28/10%0%0.00
17/09/20263rd9/153%85%+0.32