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6

Sailor Batt

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 60

Ayr · Book Your Event At Ayr Racecourse Handicap · 7f 50y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden but often gives his running and looked rusty after 5 months off at Redcar 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 05/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS5/0755 @ Redcar 24/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 64 · 5f217y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 64 par5 @ Musselburgh 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 64 · 7f15y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 64 par1/105OR 645 @ Haydock 17/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 64 · 6f212y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 64 par6 @ Wolverhampton 12/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 62 par12/016OR 625 @ Newcastle 06/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 63 · 1m5y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Newcastle 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 62 · 1m5y Std 132 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 62 par21/036OR 626 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 63 · 1m GS 133 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 62 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 62 par9/096OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar67th7th0
2026-04-16Ripon63rd3rd0
2026-03-21Newcastle63rd3rd0
2026-02-06Newcastle55th4th+1
2026-01-12Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2025-10-17Haydock56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0717/1021/039/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength38%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20259th66/10%11%+0.11
24/09/20252nd11/271%92%+0.21
01/10/20253rd3/184%67%-0.18
17/10/20256th11/142%50%+0.08
12/01/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
06/02/20265th3/184%33%-0.51
21/03/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01
16/04/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
09/09/20267th22/10%57%+0.57