Wise Crack
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 64
Ayr · Book Your Event At Ayr Racecourse Handicap · 7f 50y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |