6

Aussie Pearl

3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 57

Ayr · Racing TV Handicap · 1m 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked green but showed ability when third at Leicester on debut last October but still to better that form in 4 attempts since. Tries longer trip now but is hard to fancy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength88%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 07/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m53y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS7/1043 @ Newmarket 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/1033 @ Hamilton 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m3f15y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS10/0635 @ Hamilton 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 65 · 1m3f15y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 65 par25/065OR 655 @ Nottingham 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 62 · 1m2f50y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 62 par3/085OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Nottingham54th3rd+1
2026-06-25Hamilton54th3rd+1
2026-06-10Hamilton34th0th+3
2025-10-22Newmarket33rd-1th+3
2025-10-07Leicester43rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1022/1010/0625/063/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20253rd7/282%75%-0.07
22/10/20253rd9/153%33%-0.19
10/06/20264th25/10%25%+0.25
25/06/20264th14/126%0%-0.26
03/08/20264th33/10%0%0.00