1
Time Turner
4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 64
Ayr · Racing TV Handicap · 1m 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Hamilton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Musselburgh | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Southwell | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |