Captain Fox
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 72
Bath · JDL Consultants Ltd Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 37y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |