Cotswold Cottage
6yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 67
Bath · JDL Consultants Ltd Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 37y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Haydock | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-05 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-17 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2024 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/10/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |