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4

Dryburgh

3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 75

Bath · JDL Consultants Ltd Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 37y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong-travelling maiden who looked a shade unfortunate at Doncaster in June. Reportedly finished lame at Ayr since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f127y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS30/0824 @ Newcastle 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 76 · 1m5y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 75 · 1m Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 75 par22/104OR 755 @ Kempton 18/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m Sta 134 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 70 · 1m2f43y GS 131 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 70 par29/035OR 705 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 70 · 1m2f50y Goo 135 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 72 · 1m3f188y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 72 par14/054OR 725 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m2f43y GF 134 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 75 · 1m2f Goo 134 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 75 par8/085OR 75projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Ayr59th9th0
2026-06-05Doncaster52nd2nd0
2026-05-14York48th7th+1
2026-04-08Nottingham52nd2nd0
2026-03-29Doncaster53rd3rd0
2026-02-18Kempton57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0818/0214/058/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20253rd9/153%67%+0.14
04/10/20255th15/890%0%-0.90
22/10/20253rd11/271%50%-0.21
18/02/20267th11/142%14%-0.28
29/03/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71
08/04/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
14/05/20268th22/10%46%+0.46
05/06/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
08/08/20269th11/271%33%-0.38